Bihar Assembly Election Results 2025 Highlights: NDA Crosses Halfway-Mark in Early Trends; MGB Lags Behind

Introduction

Patna
The early trends from the 2025 Bihar Assembly Election results show a strong start for the NDA, which has crossed the halfway mark in initial counting. The alliance, led by the BJP and JD(U), appears to be maintaining consistent leads across key districts, putting pressure on the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), which includes the RJD, Congress, and Left parties.

Though counting is still underway, the early numbers indicate that the NDA has managed to consolidate support in both urban and semi-urban constituencies, while the MGB is trailing in several closely watched seats.

NDA Ahead in Most Regions as Counting Gains Pace

From the very first round of counting, NDA candidates surged ahead, especially in areas where turnout was higher than expected. The BJP is showing strong numbers in urban pockets, while JD(U) appears to have regained ground in districts where its organisational network remains strong.

Key reasons analysts cite for the NDA’s early lead include:

• Increased turnout among women voters
• Consolidation of non-Yadav OBC votes
• Internal disagreements within the opposition
• Effective booth-level management
• Strong campaign messaging on governance and stability

Celebrations have begun at several NDA offices, though party leaders say they will wait for final margins before making any major statements.

Mahagathbandhan Trails but Hopes for Shift in Later Rounds

The Mahagathbandhan, led by RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav, is lagging behind in early trends but remains hopeful.
Opposition leaders argue that many rural booths — which traditionally favour the MGB — are counted later in the day.

Several of their stronghold seats are witnessing tougher fights than expected, and some sitting MLAs are trailing behind newcomers from the NDA.
The RJD is monitoring close contests in Raghopur, Madhepura, Jehanabad, and parts of Saran.

Opposition spokespersons say the early trends do not reflect the final picture and are confident of narrowing the gap by the afternoon.

Tight Contests and Unexpected Swings in Multiple Constituencies

The 2025 election is turning out to be one of the most competitive in recent years, with narrow margins being reported from at least 40–50 seats.
Unexpected swings in key areas have surprised both alliances.

Some constituencies that were considered safe seats for the MGB are showing a strong NDA surge, while in other pockets, the opposition has managed to hold steady.

The Election Commission has already flagged several seats as too close to call due to rapid lead changes every few minutes.

High Voter Turnout Influencing the Early Picture

Bihar witnessed energetic voter participation this year. Increased turnout among women, youth, and first-time voters is believed to have played a critical role.

Turnout patterns suggest:

• Women’s participation increased significantly
• Youth turnout was higher in districts facing unemployment issues
• Rural turnout stayed strong despite weather challenges

These factors have complicated the predictions and added uncertainty to the results.

Counting Under Tight Security Across the State

Counting centres across Bihar are functioning under heavy security due to the high political stakes.
Central paramilitary forces and state police have been deployed to prevent any tension as results shift.

Postal ballots are still being counted, and trends may change as later rounds begin.

The Election Commission has urged all parties and supporters to remain patient and avoid premature celebrations.

Conclusion

With the NDA crossing the halfway mark in early trends and the Mahagathbandhan struggling to catch up, the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 is shaping into a dramatic and closely watched contest.

Results are expected to fluctuate throughout the day, especially as rural booths and postal ballots add their numbers.
Only by evening will Bihar know whether the NDA maintains its lead or the MGB stages a comeback.